Harris or Trump: How UK is preparing for new US president

Since Donald Trump’s surprise victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016, British politicians, including former Prime Minister Theresa May, have grappled with the unconventional dynamics of Trump’s leadership. Trump’s unilateral decision to withdraw US troops from Syria and Iraq without consulting allied forces drew sharp criticism from May, who described the move as “an abuse of power.”

Now, as the US faces another potentially polarized election, UK Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer finds himself preparing for renewed diplomacy challenges, whether dealing with Trump’s brash style or Kamala Harris’s likely more traditional but untested approach. Reflecting on past experiences, Starmer and Foreign Secretary David Lammy are determined to foster cooperation, despite the tumultuous history between Trump and Labour’s leadership.

Navigating Diplomacy with Trump

During a recent New York visit, Starmer met with Trump, marking an effort by UK diplomats to solidify diplomatic foundations with a candidate who could soon return to the Oval Office. This meeting was not without its ironies. Starmer’s government has previously criticized Trump harshly, with Lammy having openly labeled Trump a “tyrant.” Yet, both Starmer and Lammy now aim to preserve the UK’s most critical overseas alliance. Starmer commented on his commitment to sustaining relationships with any US president, stating, “I believe strongly in personal relations…to, as necessary, pick up the phone to them.”

Possible Shifts Under Trump and Harris

In terms of policy, Trump’s return to office could lead to substantial shifts in US stances on climate change, trade tariffs, and Ukraine, potentially disrupting current UK-US policy alignments. Trump may also consider a free trade deal with the UK—an attractive offer, though likely to come with difficult terms. Meanwhile, a Harris administration, while more aligned with Europe’s values, has shown limited engagement with the UK thus far, as Harris has not met with Starmer despite his multiple visits to the US.

Transatlantic Tensions and Strategic Diplomacy

The Trump campaign recently stirred transatlantic tensions by accusing Labour of election interference due to a LinkedIn post from a volunteer. Starmer, downplaying the issue, noted that election volunteers have participated in US elections historically. Still, the incident serves as a reminder of Trump’s unpredictable responses and long-standing memory for perceived slights—traits that may strain the so-called “special relationship.”

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